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Plaza Colonia vs Juventud - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Dominguez F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Plaza Colonia
35%
Draws
45%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plaza Colonia come out ahead of Juventud on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Juventud's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Plaza Colonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 19%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Juventud
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Plaza Colonia
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud
0:0
Nov 4, 2024 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 28 / 100
Juventud 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Juventud let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Plaza Colonia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS Juventud
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Colonia

(Home)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0
Juventud
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Maldonado -
Albion -
Boston River -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. -
Danubio -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
Club Nacional -
Rentistas -
Liverpool M. -
Cerro Largo -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Quarter-finals
Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -