Sport Picks
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya 2025 Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento 
Match Events
28'
28'
Gissi D.
33'
33'
Sub
Sencion Rodriguez C. E. In: Triver F.
Out: Sencion Rodriguez C. E.
40'
40'
Almeida C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- River Plate Montevideo haven't matched Plaza Colonia's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 20%
River Plate Montevideo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plaza Colonia | River Plate Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Segunda Division
River Plate Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
1:1
Jun 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
River Plate Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plaza Colonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
River Plate Montevideo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gissi D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plaza Colonia 32 / 100
River Plate Montevideo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plaza Colonia River Plate Montevideo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: River Plate Montevideo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Plaza Colonia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Plaza Colonia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Plaza Colonia VS River Plate Montevideo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Plaza Colonia
(Home) 11 Jul
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 2 Plaza Colonia
04 Jul
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0 La Luz
28 Jun
Cerrito
1 : 0 Plaza Colonia
20 Jun
Plaza Colonia
1 : 2 Atenas
14 Jun
Paysandu FC
1 : 2 Plaza Colonia
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0 La Luz
20 Jun
Plaza Colonia
1 : 2 Atenas
05 Jun
Plaza Colonia
0 : 0 Huracan FC
22 May
Plaza Colonia
3 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
09 May
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1 Fenix
Page 1 of 3
River Plate Montevideo
(Away) 18 Jul
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
11 Jul
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 2 Plaza Colonia
04 Jul
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
28 Jun
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 0 La Luz
20 Jun
Colon
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
04 Jul
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
20 Jun
Colon
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
06 Jun
Fenix
3 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
23 May
Rentistas
1 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 35 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 26 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 24 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Danubio | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 21 |
| 10 | Progreso | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | 17 |
| 12 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | 16 |
| 13 | River Plate Montevideo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | 14 |
| 14 | Miramar | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2025 (Play Offs)