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Plaza Colonia vs Sud America

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2024 Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Villalba D.
45'
Gimenez B.
45' Event
Daniel Bahia

AI Match Summary

Plaza Colonia in this Segunda Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Plaza Colonia
22%
Draws
18%
Sud America
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plaza Colonia lately — more wins on the board than Sud America.
  • Plaza Colonia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%
Sud America Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Sud America
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Plaza Colonia
3:3
Jun 15, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Sud America
2:0
Nov 4, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Sud America vs Plaza Colonia
1:1
Jul 10, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Sud America
1:0
Oct 20, 2018 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Sud America
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel Bahia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sud America Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 68 / 100
Sud America 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Sud America

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Sud America has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sud America's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%