Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plaza Colonia vs Uruguay Montevideo FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento
Plaza Colonia Logo

Plaza Colonia

1 - 0
FT
Uruguay Montevideo FC Logo

Uruguay Montevideo FC

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Amoroso V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Plaza Colonia in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Plaza Colonia
35%
Draws
13%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Uruguay Montevideo FC haven't matched Plaza Colonia's recent run of results.
  • Plaza Colonia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Uruguay Montevideo FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0
May 30, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Plaza Colonia
2:0
Sep 20, 2024 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Plaza Colonia
3:0
Jun 5, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:1
Oct 30, 2023 Copa Uruguay
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Plaza Colonia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoroso V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 68 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Uruguay Montevideo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plaza Colonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Uruguay Montevideo FC let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Plaza Colonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS Uruguay Montevideo FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Colonia

(Home)
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
12 Sept
Huracan FC
1 : 2
Plaza Colonia
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
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Uruguay Montevideo FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
29 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 : 0
La Luz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 20 11 4 5 29:18 37
2 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Huracan FC 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
10 Paysandu FC 20 7 4 9 26:27 25
11 Tacuarembo 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
12 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
13 Miramar 20 5 7 8 22:26 22
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
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