Sport Picks
Plock II vs Jagiellonia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
49'
49'
Polkowski D.
67'
67'
Koscielecki M.
81'
81'
Chmielewski A.
AI Match Summary
Plock II in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plock II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Jagiellonia II have won more games recently than Plock II.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plock II | Jagiellonia II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Jagiellonia II
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Jagiellonia II
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Plock II
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Jagiellonia II
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Plock II
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plock II Compare
Top Goalscorer Koscielecki M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chmielewski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Polkowski D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plock II 34 / 100
Jagiellonia II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plock II Jagiellonia II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jagiellonia II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Plock II scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Jagiellonia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
Recent resilience: Plock II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Plock II VS Jagiellonia II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Plock II
(Home) 03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
19 Aug
Plock II
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 4
Jagiellonia II
(Away) 25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
23 Aug
KTS Weszlo
4 : 0 Jagiellonia II
15 Aug
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
31 Jul
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 3 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
