Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Plock II

0 - 4

Jagiellonia II

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Konanau M.

18'

Konanau M.

51'

Kosmalski J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Plock II and Jagiellonia II finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Plock II

22%

Draws

18%

Jagiellonia II

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Plock II carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Plock II's way, sitting at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Plock II Clean Sheet 18%

Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Plock II	Jagiellonia II
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	14	13
Draws	9	7
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Plock II vs Jagiellonia II

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Plock II

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Plock II vs Jagiellonia II

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Plock II

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Konanau M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kosmalski J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 58 / 100

Jagiellonia II 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Plock II Jagiellonia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Plock II scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Jagiellonia II has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Plock II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS Jagiellonia II

1.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15