Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plock II vs MKS Mlawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Blaszkiewicz K.
37' Event
Blaszkiewicz K.
Assist: Rogowski N.
38' Event
Koscielecki M.

AI Match Summary

Plock II in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plock II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Plock II
20%
Draws
29%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than Plock II.
  • Plock II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Plock II Clean Sheet 15%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plock II MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.72 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs MKS Mlawa
5:3
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs MKS Mlawa
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Plock II
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Plock II
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs MKS Mlawa
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Koscielecki M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Blaszkiewicz K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojkowski T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 84 / 100
MKS Mlawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plock II MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plock II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Plock II scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

MKS Mlawa let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Plock II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS MKS Mlawa
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Plock II

(Home)
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3
MKS Mlawa
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MKS Mlawa

(Away)
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3
MKS Mlawa
22 Aug
LKS Lomza
0 : 0
MKS Mlawa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 9 8 1 0 22:6 25
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 9 6 2 1 26:15 20
3 Zabkovia Zabki 9 5 1 3 16:14 16
4 Suwalki 9 4 4 1 16:10 16
5 Pelikan 9 5 1 3 13:11 16
6 Plock II 9 4 3 2 20:16 15
7 Jagiellonia II 9 4 3 2 21:18 15
8 Swit Mazowiecki 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
9 Warta Sieradz 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
10 Widzew Lodz II 9 4 1 4 20:17 13
11 Olimpia Zambrow 9 3 2 4 19:23 11
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 9 3 1 5 18:20 10
13 Olimpia Elblag 9 3 1 5 13:18 10
14 LKS Lodz II 9 3 1 5 15:18 10
15 MKS Mlawa 9 2 1 6 16:25 7
16 Troszyn 9 1 3 5 11:23 6
17 Lidzbark Warmimski 9 1 2 6 13:20 5
18 LKS Lomza 9 0 3 6 10:19 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)