Sport Picks
Match Events
61'
61'
Lapinski S.
83'
83'
Kozera D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plock II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olimpia Elblag haven't matched Plock II's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Plock II's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Plock II Clean Sheet 13%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plock II | Olimpia Elblag |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II
1:2
May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plock II Compare
Top Goalscorer Lapinski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Olimpia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Kozera D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plock II 84 / 100
Olimpia Elblag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plock II Olimpia Elblag
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plock II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Plock II scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Olimpia Elblag has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Recent resilience: Plock II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Plock II VS Olimpia Elblag
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Plock II
(Home) 12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
23 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
4 : 3 Plock II
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
19 Aug
Plock II
1 : 1 LKS Lomza
08 Aug
Plock II
2 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 4
Olimpia Elblag
(Away) 12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
19 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 2 Widzew Lodz II
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
15 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
25 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
18 Jul
Wda Swiecie
1 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
