Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Plock II

1 - 1

Olimpia Elblag

Our Tip

Match Events

61'

Lapinski S.

83'

Kozera D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Plock II

33%

Draws

27%

Olimpia Elblag

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Plock II haven't matched Olimpia Elblag's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Plock II's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Plock II Clean Sheet 18%

Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Plock II	Olimpia Elblag
Matches Played	32	36
Wins	14	15
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Plock II vs Olimpia Elblag

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Elblag vs Plock II

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapinski S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozera D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 40 / 100

Olimpia Elblag 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Plock II Olimpia Elblag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Olimpia Elblag has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Plock II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS Olimpia Elblag

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15