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Plock II vs Troszyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plock II host Troszyn in the III Liga - Group I. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Plock II at 1.69 goals for, 1.56 against; Troszyn at 2.07 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Plock II slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.63) point toward Troszyn. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Plock II
35%
Draws
30%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Troszyn at 2.07 per game, Plock II at 1.69.
  • Plock II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Plock II Clean Sheet 14%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plock II Troszyn
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Troszyn
2:1
Aug 1, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Plock II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 39 / 100
Troszyn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plock II Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plock II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Troszyn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Plock II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS Troszyn
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plock II

(Home)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 7

Troszyn

(Away)
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3
KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)