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Plock II vs Zabkovia Zabki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plock II host Zabkovia Zabki in the III Liga - Group I. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Zabkovia Zabki have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Plock II have conceded 1.56 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Plock II slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 2.13) point toward Plock II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Plock II
20%
Draws
40%
Zabkovia Zabki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Plock II have won more games recently than Zabkovia Zabki.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plock II Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Plock II
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Zabkovia Zabki
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 34 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plock II Zabkovia Zabki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Zabkovia Zabki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Plock II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS Zabkovia Zabki
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Plock II

(Home)
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 7

Zabkovia Zabki

(Away)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)