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Plus Ultra vs CA Pulpileno

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sansano L.

AI Match Summary

CA Pulpileno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Plus Ultra
30%
Draws
62%
CA Pulpileno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Pulpileno lately — more wins on the board than Plus Ultra.
  • Win probability leans CA Pulpileno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 20%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra CA Pulpileno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 27 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.87 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs CA Pulpileno
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Plus Ultra
4:1
Mar 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Plus Ultra
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs CA Pulpileno
1:0
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Plus Ultra
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plus Ultra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Sansano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 10 / 100
CA Pulpileno 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra CA Pulpileno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Plus Ultra's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CA Pulpileno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Plus Ultra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CA Pulpileno
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Plus Ultra

(Home)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
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CA Pulpileno

(Away)
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
26 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1
CA Pulpileno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)