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Plus Ultra vs Lorca Deportiva

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Galiano H.
88' Event
Carrasco A.
90' Event
Carrasco A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 game between Plus Ultra and Lorca Deportiva finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Plus Ultra
20%
Draws
64%
Lorca Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorca Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lorca Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lorca Deportiva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lorca Deportiva have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 23%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra Lorca Deportiva
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 27 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Lorca Deportiva
0:3
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Plus Ultra
5:2
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Plus Ultra
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Lorca Deportiva
0:1
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Lorca Deportiva
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plus Ultra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lorca Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Galiano H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 10 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra Lorca Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Lorca Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Lorca Deportiva registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Plus Ultra's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lorca Deportiva
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plus Ultra

(Home)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
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Lorca Deportiva

(Away)
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1
Murcia
06 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Aguilas FC
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)