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Plus Ultra vs Molinense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Lopez Moreno E.

AI Match Summary

Molinense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Plus Ultra
20%
Draws
73%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Plus Ultra.
  • Model gives Molinense a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Molinense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 19%
Molinense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra Molinense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 27 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Molinense
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Plus Ultra
6:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Plus Ultra
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Molinense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plus Ultra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez Moreno E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 10 / 100
Molinense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Molinense conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Plus Ultra's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Plus Ultra stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Molinense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plus Ultra

(Home)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
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Molinense

(Away)
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0
Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2
Molinense
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0
Yeclano B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)