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Plus Ultra vs Moratalla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Plus Ultra
15%
Draws
64%
Moratalla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moratalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Moratalla at 1.2 per game, Plus Ultra at 0.98.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Plus Ultra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra Moratalla
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 29 17
Goals Scored 0.98 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Moratalla
0:0
Oct 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Plus Ultra
0:3
Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Moratalla
1:1
Oct 26, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Plus Ultra
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 47 / 100
Moratalla 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra Moratalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Moratalla registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Plus Ultra scored in 57% of their last 42 games.

Scoring Trends

Plus Ultra VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plus Ultra

(Home)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
Page 1 of 9

Moratalla

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)