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Plus Ultra vs UCAM Murcia B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plus Ultra play UCAM Murcia B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025. UCAM Murcia B are favorites here. Recently, Plus Ultra averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. UCAM Murcia B averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Plus Ultra won 0, UCAM Murcia B won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Plus Ultra and 1.30 for UCAM Murcia B. This points to a UCAM Murcia B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Plus Ultra
18%
Draws
71%
UCAM Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: UCAM Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Plus Ultra picked up more points recently compared to UCAM Murcia B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 19%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 14
Draws 2 14
Losses 27 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs UCAM Murcia B
0:3
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Plus Ultra
2:1
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs UCAM Murcia B
0:3
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Plus Ultra
1:0
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs UCAM Murcia B
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plus Ultra Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 14 / 100
UCAM Murcia B 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra UCAM Murcia B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (2)
Secondary Pick UCAM Murcia B & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Plus Ultra attacking → ← attacking UCAM Murcia B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plus Ultra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

UCAM Murcia B let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Plus Ultra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

UCAM Murcia B lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lorca Deportiva34246462:2278
2Ciudad Cieza34217673:2670
3Molinense341813354:2467
4Santomera34188866:4262
5Aguilas FC B34188852:2362
6CA Pulpileno341510935:2355
7UCAM Murcia B341491145:3551
8Real Murcia B3413101144:3149
9E.G. El Palmar3412101248:4546
10Bala Azul3410141034:2744
11Caravaca3411101335:4143
12Deportivo Maritimo341071738:5737
13Muleno CF349101529:4937
14FC Cartagena SAD B34991627:4336
15Minerva348101633:4534
16Bullense34791829:5830
17Alcantarilla34772021:6528
18Plus Ultra34232923:929