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Stadium Background

Plymouth Parkway vs Bristol Manor Farm

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Seymour B.
40' Event
Booth A.
49' Event
Ford J.

AI Match Summary

The FA Trophy 2022/2023 game between Plymouth Parkway and Bristol Manor Farm finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth Parkway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Plymouth Parkway
17%
Draws
13%
Bristol Manor Farm
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plymouth Parkway come out ahead of Bristol Manor Farm on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Plymouth Parkway taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 15%
Bristol Manor Farm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Parkway Bristol Manor Farm
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 FA Trophy
Plymouth Parkway vs Bristol Manor Farm
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Booth A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bristol Manor Farm Compare

Top Goalscorer Ford J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 66 / 100
Bristol Manor Farm 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Parkway Bristol Manor Farm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Manor Farm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Plymouth Parkway found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: Plymouth Parkway remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth Parkway VS Bristol Manor Farm
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Banbury-
TBD-
Grays0
Stowmarket Town1
Chesham2
Lewes3
Weston-super-Mare1
Bognor Regis2
Chesterfield-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunston1
Coalville Town3
Hednesford4
Stourbridge2
Gateshead-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kettering-
TBD-
TBD-
Gloucester City-
Oldham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Peterborough Sports-
TBD-
TBD-
Cheshunt-
Royston Town0
Heybridge2
TBD-
Hereford-
Tavistock2
Binfield1
TBD-
Hungerford-
Liversedge0
Tamworth2
TBD-
Boston United-
Leamington-
TBD-
Harlow0
Stortford4
Bradford PA-
TBD-
TBD-
Farsley-
Chester-
TBD-
Lancaster3
Gainsborough2
Matlock1
Stafford0
Chasetown0
Marske United2
Basford Utd.1
Marine2
TBD-
Scarborough Athletic-
Woking-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Eastleigh-
Hampton & Richmond-
TBD-
TBD-
Farnborough-
Braintree-
TBD-
TBD-
Brackley-
Notts County-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chorley-
TBD-
Leek Town2
Worksop1
Maidstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Worthing FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Weymouth-
Torquay-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hastings4
Burgess Hill2
TBD-
Chippenham Town-
AFC Dunstable0
Hanwell Town1
TBD-
Slough Town-
Taunton Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Dulwich Hamlet-
Solihull Moors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carshalton0
Kings Langley1
TBD-
Telford-
Barnet-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oxford City-
TBD-
Plymouth Parkway3
Bristol Manor Farm1
Southend-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boreham Wood-
Spennymoor-
TBD-
Runcorn Linnets3
Belper Town2
Darlington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Alfreton-
York City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blyth Spartans-
TBD-
TBD-
Buxton-
Chelmsford-
TBD-
Redditch3
AFC Totton1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wealdstone-
Ebbsfleet-
TBD-
TBD-
Eastbourne Borough-
Tonbridge-
TBD-
Bracknell Town3
North Leigh2
Haringey Borough1
Billericay3
TBD-
Bath City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bromley-
Altrincham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Southport-
TBD-
TBD-
Curzon Ashton-
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Scunthorpe-
Aldershot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Welling-
TBD-
TBD-
Havant & Waterlooville-
Beaconsfield Town2
Truro0
Folkestone2
Horsham FC0
Leiston2
Wroxham1
Nuneaton1
Alvechurch2
Yeovil-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dorking Wanderers-
AFC Fylde-
TBD-
Colne5
Warrington Rylands0
St. Albans-
TBD-
TBD-
Kidderminster-
Dagenham & Red.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Uxbridge4
Wingate & Finchley2
TBD-
Dover Ath.-
King’s Lynn-
TBD-
TBD-
Hemel Hempstead-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maidenhead-
Winchester City0
Swindon Supermarine5
TBD-
Dartford-
Concord Rangers-
TBD-
Harrow Borough2
Hayes & Yeading0
Warrington Town3
South Shields1
Macclesfield0
Guiseley2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Halifax-
1/64-finals
Banbury6
Stowmarket Town0
Lewes2
Bognor Regis3
Chesterfield-
TBD-
Coalville Town2
Hednesford0
Gateshead-
TBD-
Kettering-
Gloucester City-
Oldham-
TBD-
Peterborough Sports3
Cheshunt2
Heybridge3
Hereford0
Tavistock1
Hungerford2
Tamworth2
Boston United1
Leamington1
Stortford0
Bradford PA1
Farsley2
Chester2
Lancaster1
Matlock1
Marske United2
Marine1
Scarborough Athletic0
Woking-
TBD-
TBD-
Eastleigh-
Hampton & Richmond0
Farnborough1
Braintree1
Brackley0
Notts County-
TBD-
Chorley1
Leek Town0
Maidstone-
TBD-
Worthing FC4
Weymouth2
Torquay-
TBD-
Hastings1
Chippenham Town2
Hanwell Town0
Slough Town3
Taunton Town2
Dulwich Hamlet1
Solihull Moors-
TBD-
Kings Langley1
Telford2
Barnet-
TBD-
Oxford City1
Plymouth Parkway2
Southend-
TBD-
TBD-
Boreham Wood-
Spennymoor3
Runcorn Linnets2
Darlington FC4
Alfreton1
York City-
TBD-
Blyth Spartans4
Buxton2
Chelmsford2
Redditch1
TBD-
Wealdstone-
Ebbsfleet0
Eastbourne Borough1
Tonbridge2
Bracknell Town4
Billericay1
Bath City3
TBD-
Bromley-
Altrincham-
TBD-
Southport1
Curzon Ashton3
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
Scunthorpe-
Aldershot-
TBD-
Welling3
Havant & Waterlooville2
Beaconsfield Town1
Folkestone2
Leiston4
Alvechurch3
Yeovil-
TBD-
TBD-
Dorking Wanderers-
AFC Fylde2
Colne1
St. Albans1
Kidderminster2
Dagenham & Red.-
TBD-
Uxbridge2
Dover Ath.1
King’s Lynn1
Hemel Hempstead2
TBD-
Maidenhead-
Swindon Supermarine4
Dartford0
Concord Rangers2
Harrow Borough4
Warrington Town0
Guiseley1
TBD-
Halifax-
1/32-finals
Banbury4
Bognor Regis3
Chesterfield1
Coalville Town3
Gateshead5
Gloucester City1
Oldham1
Peterborough Sports0
Heybridge1
Hungerford2
Tamworth2
Leamington1
Farsley3
Chester2
Marske United2
Marine1
Woking0
Eastleigh2
Farnborough2
Braintree3
Notts County2
Chorley1
Maidstone2
Worthing FC0
Torquay3
Chippenham Town2
Slough Town0
Taunton Town1
Solihull Moors2
Telford0
Barnet1
Plymouth Parkway0
Southend2
Boreham Wood0
Spennymoor1
Darlington FC3
York City5
Blyth Spartans0
Chelmsford2
Wealdstone1
Eastbourne Borough1
Bracknell Town2
Bath City3
Bromley2
Altrincham1
Curzon Ashton0
Wrexham3
Scunthorpe1
Aldershot3
Welling0
Folkestone1
Leiston2
Yeovil0
Dorking Wanderers1
AFC Fylde1
Kidderminster2
Dagenham & Red.5
Uxbridge1
Hemel Hempstead2
Maidenhead3
Swindon Supermarine1
Harrow Borough2
Guiseley0
Halifax1
1/16-finals
Banbury3
Coalville Town2
Gateshead3
Oldham1
Hungerford2
Tamworth1
Farsley7
Marske United1
Eastleigh1
Braintree0
Notts County2
Maidstone3
Torquay4
Taunton Town2
Solihull Moors0
Barnet2
Southend2
Darlington FC1
York City2
Chelmsford1
Bracknell Town1
Bath City0
Altrincham3
Wrexham2
Aldershot4
Leiston1
Dorking Wanderers3
Kidderminster2
Dagenham & Red.0
Maidenhead2
Harrow Borough2
Halifax3
1/8-finals
Banbury0
Gateshead1
Hungerford2
Farsley3
Eastleigh0
Maidstone4
Torquay1
Barnet2
Southend0
York City2
Bracknell Town1
Altrincham3
Aldershot1
Dorking Wanderers0
Maidenhead0
Halifax1
Quarter-finals
Gateshead1
Farsley0
Maidstone2
Barnet3
York City1
Altrincham2
Aldershot0
Halifax2
Semi-finals
Gateshead4
Barnet3
Altrincham1
Halifax2
Final
Gateshead0
Halifax1