Sport Picks
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Love-Holmes T.
34'
34'
Beardmore M.
61'
61'
Hall C.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Plymouth Parkway and Chertsey Town finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth Parkway.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chertsey Town come out ahead of Plymouth Parkway on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Plymouth Parkway have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 12%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plymouth Parkway | Chertsey Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plymouth Parkway Compare
Top Goalscorer Love-Holmes T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beardmore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plymouth Parkway 30 / 100
Chertsey Town 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plymouth Parkway Chertsey Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Plymouth Parkway scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Chertsey Town has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
Plymouth Parkway has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Plymouth Parkway VS Chertsey Town
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Plymouth Parkway
(Home) 14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0 Torquay
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4 Plymouth
25 Apr
Gosport Borough
3 : 6 Plymouth Parkway
18 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Hanwell Town
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3 Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0 Torquay
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4 Plymouth
18 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Hanwell Town
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3 Havant & Waterlooville
03 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 0 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 3
Chertsey Town
(Away) 25 Jul
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Hampton & Richmond
21 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Wealdstone
14 Jul
Egham Town
1 : 4 Chertsey Town
25 Apr
Chertsey Town
1 : 0 Hungerford
18 Apr
Weymouth
5 : 1 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Egham Town
1 : 4 Chertsey Town
18 Apr
Weymouth
5 : 1 Chertsey Town
06 Apr
Walton & Hersham
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
28 Mar
Farnham
1 : 0 Chertsey Town
17 Mar
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 1 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
