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Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town

England England

Southern League Premier South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wood M.
11' Event
Hopkins A.
55' Event
Ferris A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 game between Plymouth Parkway and Frome Town finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frome Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Plymouth Parkway
22%
Draws
18%
Frome Town
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Frome Town haven't matched Plymouth Parkway's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Plymouth Parkway's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Frome Town here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 10%
Frome Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Parkway Frome Town
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town
0:4
Apr 21, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town
0:3
Dec 26, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway
5:0
Sep 19, 2023 FA Cup
Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 FA Cup
Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Frome Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hopkins A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 56 / 100
Frome Town 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Parkway Frome Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Plymouth Parkway scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Frome Town let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Plymouth Parkway remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth Parkway VS Frome Town
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth Parkway

(Home)
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0
Torquay
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4
Plymouth
25 Apr
Gosport Borough
3 : 6
Plymouth Parkway
18 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Hanwell Town
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 7

Frome Town

(Away)
25 Jul
Frome Town
3 : 0
Salisbury
18 Jul
Frome Town
1 : 1
Worthing FC
27 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 2
Frome Town
17 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 1
Shaftesbury Town
13 Sept
Shaftesbury Town
1 : 1
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Merthyr Town4227105105:4691
2AFC Totton422513485:3588
3Walton & Hersham422411790:5483
4Gloucester City422114781:5377
5Dorchester421918575:4875
6Havant & Waterlooville4221111084:4974
7Hungerford4216111563:5559
8Hanwell Town4215131458:6258
9Taunton Town4213181164:5857
10Wimborne4215121549:5657
11Sholing4214101859:6852
12Gosport Borough4213121753:6151
13Plymouth Parkway421482063:7750
14Poole Town4213101948:6249
15Basingstoke4211151662:6448
16Chertsey Town421452367:8247
17Tiverton4212111939:7147
18Bracknell Town4211131857:7246
19Winchester City4212102054:7446
20Swindon Supermarine421282260:7844
21Frome Town429132039:6040
22Marlow42563145:11521
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 (Play Offs)