Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth U23 vs Aston Villa U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 Home Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Wright T.
37' Event
Battle A.
45' Event
Jephcott L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League Cup 2018/2019 game between Plymouth U23 and Aston Villa U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Plymouth U23
30%
Draws
34%
Aston Villa U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plymouth U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aston Villa U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Plymouth U23 taking it.
  • Cup games in Premier League Cup 2018/2019 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Plymouth U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth U23 Aston Villa U23
Matches Played 15 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2019 Premier League Cup
Plymouth U23 vs Aston Villa U23
4:1
Nov 30, 2018 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U23 vs Plymouth U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Battle A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rooney D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth U23 36 / 100
Aston Villa U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth U23 Aston Villa U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U23 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Plymouth U23 scored in 60% of their last 15 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Aston Villa U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa U23
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stoke City U23641117:813
2Sunderland U23640218:1312
3Peterborough U23620411:186
4Charlton U2361146:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Everton U23642011:514
2Blackburn U23631214:610
3Sheffield Utd U2363039:99
4Doncaster U2360156:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley U2362319:129
2Bournemouth U23622213:108
3Liverpool U2361415:47
4West Brom U2361326:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nottingham U23651017:616
2Leicester U2361328:86
3Exeter U2361327:116
4Norwich U2360335:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swansea U2363219:511
2Wolves U2363217:511
3Oxford Utd U2362136:77
4Hull City U2361146:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Derby U23641118:413
2Aston Villa U23640215:612
3Plymouth U2361326:86
4Bristol City U2360244:252
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Reading U23641115:713
2Fulham U23640216:512
3Birmingham U23631211:910
4Colchester U2360063:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leeds U23640214:812
2Newcastle Utd U23632111:711
3Southampton U23631218:1010
4Notts County U2360156:241