Sport Picks
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One Home Park, Plymouth 
Match Events
16'
16'
Stockley J.
Assist: Maycock C.
17'
17'
Sub
Ogundere I. In: Simmonds F.
Out: Ogundere I.
25'
25'
Watts C.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plymouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Plymouth carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Plymouth's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Plymouth here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plymouth | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 League One
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
Dec 21, 2022 EFL Trophy
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
4:3
Mar 8, 2022 League One
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plymouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Watts C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Amaechi X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Stockley J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plymouth 85 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plymouth AFC Wimbledon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plymouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Plymouth scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Plymouth remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Plymouth VS AFC Wimbledon
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Plymouth
(Home) 06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3 Plymouth
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 Plymouth
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0 Barnsley
29 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0 Bradford City
25 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 4 Coventry
Page 1 of 3
AFC Wimbledon
(Away) 06 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 Barnet
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
18 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
