Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth vs Barnsley

England England

League One Home Park, Plymouth
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Irow O.
Assist: Pleguezuelo J.
9'
Gale S.
22' Event
Curtis R.

AI Match Summary

Plymouth in this League One matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plymouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Plymouth
15%
Draws
7%
Barnsley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plymouth lately — more wins on the board than Barnsley.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Plymouth taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 12%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Barnsley
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.04 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League One
Plymouth vs Barnsley
3:0
Apr 6, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Plymouth
0:3
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Plymouth vs Barnsley
1:3
Mar 11, 2023 League One
Barnsley vs Plymouth
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 League One
Plymouth vs Barnsley
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Irow O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Curtis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Barnsley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth 83 / 100
Barnsley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Barnsley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Barnsley let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Plymouth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth VS Barnsley
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth

(Home)
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4
Plymouth
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0
Barnsley
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

Barnsley

(Away)
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4
Leeds U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1
Leicester
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0
Barnsley
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 7 5 0 2 7:4 15
2 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
3 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
4 Plymouth 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
5 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
6 Huddersfield 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
7 Burton 8 3 3 2 13:12 12
8 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
9 Reading 7 3 2 2 16:9 11
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 7 3 1 3 13:9 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)