Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth vs Coventry Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

EFL Cup Home Park, Plymouth
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Awoniyi T.
Assist: Yirenkyi C.
5' Event
Rudoni J.
Assist: Awoniyi T.
12'
Latibeaudiere J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Plymouth
15%
Draws
17%
Coventry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Coventry haven't matched Plymouth's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Plymouth taking it.
  • Plymouth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coventry, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 68%
Coventry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Coventry
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.04 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 EFL Cup
Plymouth vs Coventry
2:4
Apr 21, 2025 Championship
Plymouth vs Coventry
3:1
Dec 26, 2024 Championship
Coventry vs Plymouth
4:0
Feb 14, 2024 Championship
Plymouth vs Coventry
2:2
Nov 28, 2023 Championship
Coventry vs Plymouth
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Irow O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaechi X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Coventry Compare

Top Goalscorer Awoniyi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rudoni J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth 95 / 100
Coventry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Coventry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Coventry has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Plymouth remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth VS Coventry
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth

(Home)
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4
Plymouth
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0
Barnsley
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

Coventry

(Away)
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1
Coventry
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5
Brighton
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0
Coventry
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1
Hull City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -