Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Cummins C.
46'
46'
Sub
Doyle-Hayes J. In: Kite H.
Out: Doyle-Hayes J.
65'
65'
Sub
Edwards G. In: Sutherland E.
Out: Edwards G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Plymouth have won more games recently than Exeter.
- Model gives Plymouth a 64% chance of winning this.
- Plymouth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Plymouth, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 20%
Exeter Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Plymouth | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 EFL Cup
Plymouth vs Exeter
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Plymouth vs Exeter
2:2
Oct 23, 2025 League One
Exeter vs Plymouth
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 League One
Exeter vs Plymouth
0:1
Oct 31, 2022 League One
Plymouth vs Exeter
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plymouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Hartridge A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pepple A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Exeter Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plymouth 85 / 100
Exeter 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plymouth Exeter
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plymouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Plymouth scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Exeter's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Plymouth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Plymouth VS Exeter
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Plymouth
(Home) 03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 Plymouth
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4 Plymouth
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0 Barnsley
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0 Barnsley
29 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0 Bradford City
25 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 4 Coventry
Page 1 of 3
Exeter
(Away) 03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0 Rotherham
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0 Exeter
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0 Exeter
29 Aug
York City
2 : 1 Exeter
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0 Exeter
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
