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Plymouth vs Stockport County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Home Park, Plymouth
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Diamond J.
Assist: Bate L.
26' Event
Wootton K.
37'
McNulty J.

AI Match Summary

Stockport County in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stockport County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Plymouth
15%
Draws
39%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Plymouth have won more games recently than Stockport County.
  • Model gives Plymouth a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 68%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Stockport County
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.03 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Plymouth vs Stockport County
1:3
Jan 31, 2026 League One
Stockport County vs Plymouth
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 League One
Plymouth vs Stockport County
4:2
Jan 24, 2004 League One
Stockport County vs Plymouth
0:2
Aug 22, 2003 League One
Plymouth vs Stockport County
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaechi X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer Diamond J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wootton K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth 59 / 100
Stockport County 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Stockport County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Plymouth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Stockport County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth VS Stockport County
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth

(Home)
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2
Plymouth
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6

Stockport County

(Away)
10 Oct
Stockport County
3 : 1
Barnsley
06 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 2
Stockport County
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
8 Oxford Utd 7 4 2 1 15:8 14
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
12 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
13 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
14 Mansfield 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)