Sport Picks

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Plymouth vs Tottenham U21

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Home Park, Plymouth
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ross M.
Assist: Finn T.
12'
Roberts C.
20' Event
Finn T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-2, with Plymouth advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Plymouth
6%
Draws
4%
Tottenham U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plymouth come out ahead of Tottenham U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Plymouth's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Plymouth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Plymouth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 20%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Tottenham U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 EFL Trophy
Plymouth vs Tottenham U21
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Finn T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ross M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Tottenham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Russell-Denny R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irow O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth 85 / 100
Tottenham U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Tottenham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Plymouth went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tottenham U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth VS Tottenham U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth

(Home)
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1
Plymouth
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3
Plymouth
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4
Plymouth
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

Tottenham U21

(Away)
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1
Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Tottenham U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Brighton U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
24 Apr
Tottenham U21
1 : 0
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)