This match ends 6-2, with Plymouth advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
Plymouth
6%
Draws
4%
Tottenham U21
Draw rate projection: 6%Favored: Plymouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
Look at the last few games and Plymouth come out ahead of Tottenham U21 on wins alone.
Win probability leans Plymouth's way, sitting at 90%.
Plymouth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Plymouth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals44%
Over 4.5 Goals20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)78.2%
Plymouth Clean Sheet20%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Plymouth
Tottenham U21
Matches Played
30
29
Wins
20
13
Draws
5
2
Losses
5
14
Goals Scored
2.63
1.25
Goals Conceded
1
1.13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.00
1.13
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2025EFL Trophy
PlymouthvsTottenham U21
6:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Plymouth Compare
Top GoalscorerFinn T.
2 Goals
Assists LeaderRoss M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game2.02
Avg xA / game1.31
Tottenham U21 Compare
Top GoalscorerRussell-Denny R.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderIrow O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.14
Avg xA / game0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Plymouth85 / 100
Tottenham U2110 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Plymouth Tottenham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickPLY Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Plymouth scored in 97% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 8.00 goals.
Plymouth went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Tottenham U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.