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Plzen vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Doosan Arena, Plzen
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plzen host Benfica in the Europa League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Plzen at 2.15 goals for, 1.67 against; Benfica at 2.9 for, 0.97 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.50 - 2.19) back Benfica to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Plzen
15%
Draws
53%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Plzen haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Plzen Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen Benfica
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.15 2.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 30 / 100
Benfica 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Plzen scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Benfica conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Plzen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plzen VS Benfica
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Plzen

(Home)
05 Nov
Lillestrom
0 : 1
Plzen
01 Nov
Ostrava
0 : 4
Plzen
28 Oct
Jihlava
1 : 6
Plzen
25 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
22 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)
05 Nov
Benfica
3 : 1
Lech Poznan
02 Nov
Benfica
1 : 0
Alverca
29 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Gil Vicente
26 Oct
Santa Clara
1 : 2
Benfica
22 Oct
Omonia
1 : 4
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)