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Plzen vs FC Porto

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Doosan Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cerv L.
Assist: Valenta M.
14'
Doski M.
34'
Sub
Kabongo C. In: Adu P.
Out: Kabongo C.

AI Match Summary

Plzen host FC Porto in the Europa League 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Plzen have averaged 1.88 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against FC Porto's 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Plzen have won 0 to FC Porto's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.06) back FC Porto to edge this. FC Porto in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Plzen
28%
Draws
50%
FC Porto
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FC Porto has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Plzen.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for FC Porto.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Europa League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Plzen Clean Sheet 22%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen FC Porto
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 23
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Europa League
Plzen vs FC Porto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerv L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Porto Compare

Top Goalscorer Gul D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 24 / 100
FC Porto 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen FC Porto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plzen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

FC Porto let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Plzen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Porto lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plzen VS FC Porto
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221