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Plzen vs FK Pardubice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Doosan Arena, Plzen
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plzen host FK Pardubice in the Chance Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Plzen have averaged 1.82 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against FK Pardubice's 2.25 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Plzen have won 3 to FK Pardubice's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.75) back Plzen to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Plzen
20%
Draws
61%
FK Pardubice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pardubice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FK Pardubice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FK Pardubice a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Plzen Clean Sheet 12%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen FK Pardubice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.82 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Chance Liga
Plzen vs FK Pardubice
0:1
Jul 18, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Plzen
1:5
Mar 9, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Plzen
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Chance Liga
Plzen vs FK Pardubice
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Plzen
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 10 / 100
FK Pardubice 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen FK Pardubice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pardubice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plzen found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: FK Pardubice conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Plzen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plzen VS FK Pardubice
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plzen

(Home)
10 Oct
Plzen
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
20 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 1
Plzen
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
Page 1 of 6

FK Pardubice

(Away)
02 Oct
FK Pardubice
4 : 1
Zizkov
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
05 Sept
Slovacko
0 : 0
FK Pardubice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 10 8 2 0 26:6 26
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
4 Jablonec 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
5 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
6 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Brno 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
8 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
9 Hradec Kralove 10 4 2 4 10:13 14
10 Plzen 10 3 4 3 20:17 13
11 Bohemians 1905 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
12 Ostrava 10 3 1 6 7:18 10
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 10 2 2 6 11:20 8
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 10 0 1 9 8:20 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)