Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Doosan Arena, Plzen
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plzen host Mlada Boleslav in the Chance Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Plzen have averaged 1.82 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Mlada Boleslav's 1.97 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Plzen slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 30, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.94) point toward Mlada Boleslav. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Plzen
15%
Draws
64%
Mlada Boleslav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mlada Boleslav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mlada Boleslav lately — more wins on the board than Plzen.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Mlada Boleslav taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Plzen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Plzen Clean Sheet 10%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen Mlada Boleslav
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.82 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav
2:1
Aug 19, 2025 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Plzen
0:5
Mar 2, 2025 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Plzen
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav
1:1
May 5, 2024 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 10 / 100
Mlada Boleslav 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen Mlada Boleslav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mlada Boleslav Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plzen scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mlada Boleslav has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Plzen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plzen VS Mlada Boleslav
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plzen

(Home)
20 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 1
Plzen
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
05 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 3
Plzen
Page 1 of 6

Mlada Boleslav

(Away)
19 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Brno
15 Sept
Trinec
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
26 Aug
Meteor Prague
0 : 4
Mlada Boleslav
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)