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PNG Hekari vs Auckland FC 2

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ferguson B.
90' Event
Tade E.

AI Match Summary

PNG Hekari host Auckland FC 2 in the OFC Pro League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. PNG Hekari have averaged 1.25 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Auckland FC 2's 1.63 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, PNG Hekari have won 0 to Auckland FC 2's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.81) back Auckland FC 2 to edge this. Auckland FC 2 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
PNG Hekari
6%
Draws
90%
Auckland FC 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland FC 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to PNG Hekari.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Auckland FC 2.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in OFC Pro League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 11%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PNG Hekari Auckland FC 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs PNG Hekari
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs Auckland FC 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PNG Hekari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tade E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PNG Hekari 10 / 100
Auckland FC 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PNG Hekari Auckland FC 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PNG Hekari scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Auckland FC 2 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

PNG Hekari went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Auckland FC 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PNG Hekari VS Auckland FC 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298