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PNG Hekari vs South Island United

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Feutz R.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Orobulu J.
84'
Gray C.

AI Match Summary

South Island United in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Island United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
PNG Hekari
30%
Draws
34%
South Island United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PNG Hekari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • South Island United haven't matched PNG Hekari's recent run of results.
  • Model gives PNG Hekari a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%
South Island United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PNG Hekari South Island United
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Island United vs PNG Hekari
4:1
Feb 7, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs South Island United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Orobulu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

South Island United Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyers R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PNG Hekari 34 / 100
South Island United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PNG Hekari South Island United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Island United conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

PNG Hekari scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: South Island United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PNG Hekari VS South Island United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PNG Hekari

(Home)
13 May
Solomon Kings
3 : 0
PNG Hekari
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
18 Apr
South Melbourne
1 : 2
PNG Hekari
15 Apr
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
PNG Hekari
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South Island United

(Away)
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
12 May
Auckland FC 2
5 : 2
South Island United
09 May
South Melbourne
4 : 2
South Island United
06 May
Bula
0 : 1
South Island United
21 Apr
South Island United
1 : 3
Auckland FC 2
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League (Losers stage)