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PNG Hekari vs Tahiti United

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Joe J.
45' Event
Shan M.
86' Event
Naime R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
PNG Hekari
20%
Draws
38%
Tahiti United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PNG Hekari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • PNG Hekari have won more games recently than Tahiti United.
  • PNG Hekari are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular OFC Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PNG Hekari Tahiti United
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 OFC Pro League
Tahiti United vs PNG Hekari
2:2
Mar 18, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs Tahiti United
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 OFC Pro League
Tahiti United vs PNG Hekari
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Joe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naime R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tahiti United Compare

Top Goalscorer Shan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PNG Hekari 40 / 100
Tahiti United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PNG Hekari Tahiti United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tahiti United conceded in 82% of 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

PNG Hekari scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

PNG Hekari went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PNG Hekari VS Tahiti United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PNG Hekari

(Home)
13 May
Solomon Kings
3 : 0
PNG Hekari
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
18 Apr
South Melbourne
1 : 2
PNG Hekari
15 Apr
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
PNG Hekari
Page 1 of 6

Tahiti United

(Away)
13 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
Vanuatu United
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Solomon Kings
2 : 1
Tahiti United
21 Apr
South Melbourne
8 : 1
Tahiti United
17 Apr
Tahiti United
1 : 0
Vanuatu United
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League (Losers stage)