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PNG Hekari vs Vanuatu United

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kaltack K.
33' Event
Joe J.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Moreira E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
PNG Hekari
28%
Draws
50%
Vanuatu United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vanuatu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • PNG Hekari have won more games recently than Vanuatu United.
  • Win probability leans Vanuatu United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular OFC Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 13%
Vanuatu United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PNG Hekari Vanuatu United
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs Vanuatu United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vanuatu United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PNG Hekari 22 / 100
Vanuatu United 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PNG Hekari Vanuatu United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: PNG Hekari scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vanuatu United conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

Solid form: PNG Hekari remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PNG Hekari VS Vanuatu United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298