Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pniowek Pawlowice vs Starowice Dolne

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Grabczynski N.
Own Goal
52' Event
Gojko D.
63' Event
Gribov N.

AI Match Summary

Starowice Dolne in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Starowice Dolne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Pniowek Pawlowice
28%
Draws
50%
Starowice Dolne
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Starowice Dolne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pniowek Pawlowice haven't matched Starowice Dolne's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Starowice Dolne's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%
Starowice Dolne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pniowek Pawlowice Starowice Dolne
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Starowice Dolne
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Pniowek Pawlowice
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Pniowek Pawlowice
2:2
Sep 2, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Starowice Dolne
2:0
Mar 7, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Starowice Dolne
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pniowek Pawlowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Buchczik O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Starowice Dolne Compare

Top Goalscorer Gojko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gribov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pniowek Pawlowice 22 / 100
Starowice Dolne 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pniowek Pawlowice Starowice Dolne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starowice Dolne has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Starowice Dolne's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pniowek Pawlowice found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Pniowek Pawlowice VS Starowice Dolne
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pniowek Pawlowice

(Home)
30 May
Warta Gorzow
2 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
23 May
Pniowek Pawlowice
2 : 4
Sleza Wroclaw
16 May
Legnica II
6 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
13 May
Pniowek Pawlowice
0 : 7
Polkowice
09 May
Zielona Gora
1 : 0
Pniowek Pawlowice
Page 1 of 6

Starowice Dolne

(Away)
18 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0
Starowice Dolne
30 May
Legnica II
2 : 1
Starowice Dolne
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Zielona Gora
5 : 1
Starowice Dolne
13 May
Starowice Dolne
2 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)