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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Chelyabinsk 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Orlov T.
10' Event
Kozhukhar I.
35' Event
Mikhaylovskiy R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod and Chelyabinsk 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
6%
Draws
4%
Chelyabinsk 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelyabinsk 2 haven't matched Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 20%
Chelyabinsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Chelyabinsk 2
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Chelyabinsk 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0:1
May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Chelyabinsk 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozhukhar I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mikhaylovskiy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Chelyabinsk 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chemasov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 85 / 100
Chelyabinsk 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Chelyabinsk 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (17 games).

Solid form: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Chelyabinsk 2 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod VS Chelyabinsk 2
3 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%