Sport Picks
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dynamo Barnaul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 
Match Events
9'
9'
Kurbanaliev A.
18'
18'
Vorona N.
(Penalty)
22'
22'
Efremov A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod and Dynamo Barnaul finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Barnaul.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod come out ahead of Dynamo Barnaul on wins alone.
- Model gives Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 11%
Dynamo Barnaul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | Dynamo Barnaul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dynamo Barnaul
2:3
Jun 7, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare
Top Goalscorer Kurbanaliev A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Efremov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Dynamo Barnaul Compare
Top Goalscorer Vorona N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zhitnikov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 35 / 100
Dynamo Barnaul 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Dynamo Barnaul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Dynamo Barnaul has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Away concern: Dynamo Barnaul has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod VS Dynamo Barnaul
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
(Home) 04 Oct
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1 Khimik
06 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1 Khimik
30 Aug
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
3 : 2 Akron Togliatti 2
16 Aug
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2 : 3 Dynamo Barnaul
26 Jul
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4 : 1 Ural 2
Page 1 of 3
Dynamo Barnaul
(Away) 04 Oct
Akron Togliatti 2
2 : 0 Dynamo Barnaul
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1 : 2 Dynamo Barnaul
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2 KDV Tomsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Akron Togliatti 2
2 : 0 Dynamo Barnaul
20 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1 : 2 Dynamo Barnaul
30 Aug
Khimik
3 : 0 Dynamo Barnaul
16 Aug
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2 : 3 Dynamo Barnaul
03 Aug
Chelyabinsk 2
2 : 3 Dynamo Barnaul
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 57:16 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV Tomsk | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40:20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 51:33 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti 2 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 46:34 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Dynamo Barnaul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg 2 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 8 | FK Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30:32 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural 2 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 34:44 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25:35 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20:48 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk 2 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19:36 | 17 |
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)
