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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Khimik

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Gruznov I.
71' Event
Mikhaylovskiy R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod and Khimik finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
28%
Draws
22%
Khimik
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khimik come out ahead of Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 68%
Khimik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Khimik
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 12 26
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 3 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Khimik
1:1
May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Khimik vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikhaylovskiy R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Khimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruznov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 59 / 100
Khimik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Khimik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Khimik let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod VS Khimik
3 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%