Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Pobeda host Renova in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. This has Renova written all over it on paper. Pobeda have averaged 0.63 scored and 3.97 conceded recently, against Renova's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Renova slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 12, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.67 vs 2.00, favoring Renova. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pobeda have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Renova are scoring more at 1.25.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Renova taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pobeda | Renova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 8 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 25 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.97 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Renova let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.
Pobeda found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).
Renova lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pobeda
(Home)Renova
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Struga | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 68 |
| 2 | Shkupi | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 62:27 | 58 |
| 3 | Shkendija Tetovo | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:23 | 57 |
| 4 | Sileks | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 41:34 | 48 |
| 5 | Bregalnica Stip | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 6 | Tikves | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Makedonija GP | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:33 | 39 |
| 8 | Rabotnicki | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 37:48 | 37 |
| 9 | Brera Strumica | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 28 |
| 10 | FK Skopje | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 17:44 | 22 |
| 11 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18:78 | 13 |
| 12 | Renova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
