Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pobeda Valandovo vs Belasica Strumica

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Division 1 2017/2018 Stadion Blagoj Istatov, Strumica
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2017/2018 game between Pobeda Valandovo and Belasica Strumica finished 0-12, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belasica Strumica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pobeda Valandovo
39%
Draws
31%
Belasica Strumica
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Belasica Strumica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Belasica Strumica here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pobeda Valandovo Clean Sheet 12%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Valandovo Belasica Strumica
Matches Played 26 36
Wins 2 21
Draws 1 5
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 2.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Pobeda Valandovo
5:0
Apr 21, 2018 2. MFL
Pobeda Valandovo vs Belasica Strumica
0:12
Mar 6, 2018 2. MFL
Pobeda Valandovo vs Belasica Strumica
1:8
Oct 1, 2017 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Pobeda Valandovo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Valandovo 29 / 100
Belasica Strumica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Valandovo Belasica Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Away concern: Belasica Strumica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pobeda Valandovo's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Belasica Strumica let in goals in 53% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Valandovo VS Belasica Strumica
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda Valandovo

(Home)
30 May
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 2
Kamjani
28 Feb
Bregalnica Delcevo
1 : 5
Pobeda Valandovo
13 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 2
Osogovo
07 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 3
Kozuf Gevgelija
31 Jan
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 5
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

Belasica Strumica

(Away)
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Belasica Strumica
1 : 0
Kamenica Sasa
10 May
Novaci
1 : 0
Belasica Strumica
02 May
Belasica Strumica
0 : 1
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belasica Strumica25185281:1159
2Borec25165443:1553
3Bregalnica Stip25158254:2053
4Kozuf Gevgelija25124934:3340
5Tikves251221145:4337
6Plackovica25931340:5030
7Kamenica Sasa25741432:4225
8Osogovo25541626:5319
9Pobeda Valandovo25251825:9510
10Turnovo91088:263
Promotion - First League 2017/2018 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Makedonija GP27175549:2356
2KF Gostivar27166548:2654
3Vellazerimi27165646:2753
4Struga27136844:3045
5FK Labunishta27119739:2542
6Teteks271231242:4239
7Gorno Lisice271051232:4635
8Lok. Skopje27681330:4126
9Zajazi27451824:6217
10Novaci27242123:559
Promotion - First League 2017/2018 (Relegation)