Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pobeda Valandovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozuf Gevgelija in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kozuf Gevgelija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pobeda Valandovo
17%
Draws
70%
Kozuf Gevgelija
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Kozuf Gevgelija have won more games recently than Pobeda Valandovo.
  • Model gives Kozuf Gevgelija a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kozuf Gevgelija here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pobeda Valandovo Clean Sheet 10%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Valandovo Kozuf Gevgelija
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Pobeda Valandovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:3
Apr 7, 2018 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Pobeda Valandovo
2:0
Nov 11, 2017 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Pobeda Valandovo
2:0
Sep 16, 2017 2. MFL
Pobeda Valandovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Valandovo 14 / 100
Kozuf Gevgelija 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Valandovo Kozuf Gevgelija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Pobeda Valandovo found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).

Kozuf Gevgelija let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Pobeda Valandovo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Valandovo VS Kozuf Gevgelija
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda Valandovo

(Home)
30 May
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 2
Kamjani
28 Feb
Bregalnica Delcevo
1 : 5
Pobeda Valandovo
13 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 2
Osogovo
07 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 3
Kozuf Gevgelija
31 Jan
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 5
Bregalnica Stip
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Kozuf Gevgelija

(Away)
30 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
4 : 0
Borec
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 4
Teteks
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
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