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Pobeda Valandovo vs Sloboda

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Feb 22, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pobeda Valandovo play Sloboda in the Club Friendly. Sloboda are favorites here. Recently, Pobeda Valandovo averaged 0.92 goals scored and 4.54 conceded. Sloboda averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Pobeda Valandovo won 0, Sloboda won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Pobeda Valandovo and 0.61 for Sloboda. This points to a Sloboda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pobeda Valandovo
25%
Draws
62%
Sloboda
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sloboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pobeda Valandovo picked up more points recently compared to Sloboda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Pobeda Valandovo Clean Sheet 29%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Valandovo Sloboda
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 13
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.92 1.17
Goals Conceded 4.54 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Pobeda Valandovo vs Sloboda
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Valandovo 18 / 100
Sloboda 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Valandovo Sloboda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sloboda & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pobeda Valandovo attacking → ← attacking Sloboda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobeda Valandovo scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Sloboda let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Pobeda Valandovo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sloboda lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 40
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50