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Pobla Mafumet vs Amposta Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between Pobla Mafumet and Amposta finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobla Mafumet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Pobla Mafumet
15%
Draws
12%
Amposta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pobla Mafumet come out ahead of Amposta on wins alone.
  • Pobla Mafumet are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pobla Mafumet have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 20%
Amposta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobla Mafumet Amposta
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Amposta
3:2
Nov 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Pobla Mafumet
1:3
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Amposta
4:1
Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Pobla Mafumet
0:1
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Amposta
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobla Mafumet 85 / 100
Amposta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobla Mafumet Amposta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amposta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Amposta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Pobla Mafumet scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Pobla Mafumet VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobla Mafumet

(Home)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 7

Amposta

(Away)
12 May
Amposta
2 : 4
Gava
06 May
Santboia
5 : 1
Amposta
29 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Manlleu AEC
22 Apr
Espanyol B
4 : 0
Amposta
15 Apr
Amposta
1 : 4
Gramenet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 22 9 7 57:27 75
2 Espanyol B 38 19 13 6 68:30 70
3 Manlleu AEC 38 18 11 9 73:48 65
4 Pobla Mafumet 38 18 10 10 52:27 64
5 Cornella 38 16 14 8 52:35 62
6 Santboia 38 16 10 12 47:43 58
7 Terrassa 38 16 10 12 57:55 58
8 FC Vilafranca 38 15 8 15 51:61 53
9 Gava 38 14 11 13 49:50 53
10 Olot 38 13 12 13 53:54 51
11 UE Rubi 38 14 8 16 61:54 50
12 Balaguer 38 13 10 15 36:52 49
13 UE Castelldefels 38 13 10 15 43:47 49
14 UE Vic 38 12 11 15 44:50 47
15 Montanesa 38 11 14 13 42:54 47
16 CE Europa 38 12 10 16 38:46 46
17 Gramenet 38 11 10 17 45:52 43
18 CF Vilanova 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Amposta 38 8 7 23 52:85 31
20 CD Masnou 38 5 9 24 32:68 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)