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Pobla Mafumet vs Balaguer

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between Pobla Mafumet and Balaguer finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobla Mafumet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pobla Mafumet
15%
Draws
0%
Balaguer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pobla Mafumet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pobla Mafumet come out ahead of Balaguer on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pobla Mafumet taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 20%
Balaguer Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobla Mafumet Balaguer
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 13 3
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.08 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Balaguer
2:0
Dec 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Pobla Mafumet
1:1
Mar 17, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Balaguer
3:1
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Pobla Mafumet
0:0
Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs Balaguer
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobla Mafumet 85 / 100
Balaguer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobla Mafumet Balaguer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobla Mafumet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balaguer has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Balaguer has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pobla Mafumet scored in 56% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pobla Mafumet VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobla Mafumet

(Home)
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 8

Balaguer

(Away)
19 May
UE Rubi
10 : 2
Balaguer
11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3
Vilassar de Mar
04 May
UE Rapitenca
5 : 2
Balaguer
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4
CE Europa
27 Apr
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
Balaguer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 22 9 7 57:27 75
2 Espanyol B 38 19 13 6 68:30 70
3 Manlleu AEC 38 18 11 9 73:48 65
4 Pobla Mafumet 38 18 10 10 52:27 64
5 Cornella 38 16 14 8 52:35 62
6 Santboia 38 16 10 12 47:43 58
7 Terrassa 38 16 10 12 57:55 58
8 FC Vilafranca 38 15 8 15 51:61 53
9 Gava 38 14 11 13 49:50 53
10 Olot 38 13 12 13 53:54 51
11 UE Rubi 38 14 8 16 61:54 50
12 Balaguer 38 13 10 15 36:52 49
13 UE Castelldefels 38 13 10 15 43:47 49
14 UE Vic 38 12 11 15 44:50 47
15 Montanesa 38 11 14 13 42:54 47
16 CE Europa 38 12 10 16 38:46 46
17 Gramenet 38 11 10 17 45:52 43
18 CF Vilanova 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Amposta 38 8 7 23 52:85 31
20 CD Masnou 38 5 9 24 32:68 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)