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Stadium Background

Pocheon vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Pocheon Stadium, Pocheon
Pocheon Logo

Pocheon

0 - 0
FT
Changwon Logo

Changwon

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ko B. B.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Pocheon and Changwon finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pocheon
30%
Draws
29%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pocheon come out ahead of Changwon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pocheon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Changwon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Pocheon
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Pocheon
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 59 / 100
Changwon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Changwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocheon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Changwon conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pocheon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Changwon
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocheon

(Home)
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
15 Jul
Seongnam
2 : 1
Pocheon
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Changwon

(Away)
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5
Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
04 Jul
Changwon
3 : 0
Geumsan Insam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 20 14 4 2 29:17 46
2 Pocheon 20 11 6 3 35:19 39
3 Busan Kyotong 20 10 6 4 35:20 36
4 Daejeon Korail 20 10 5 5 30:16 35
5 Dangjin Citizen 21 8 4 9 39:33 28
6 Changwon 19 6 8 5 22:21 26
7 Gangneung 20 7 5 8 19:28 26
8 Ulsan Citizen 20 7 4 9 21:22 25
9 Yeoju Citizen 20 6 7 7 23:25 25
10 Chuncheon 20 6 5 9 36:34 23
11 Gyeongju KHNP 19 5 8 6 27:27 23
12 Mokpo 20 3 9 8 16:33 18
13 Yangpyeong 20 3 8 9 26:38 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 21 1 7 13 21:46 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)