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Pocheon vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Pocheon Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ko B. B.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Pocheon and Changwon finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pocheon
6%
Draws
4%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pocheon come out ahead of Changwon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pocheon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Changwon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Pocheon
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Pocheon
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Changwon
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 95 / 100
Changwon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Changwon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocheon's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Changwon conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pocheon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Changwon
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409