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Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej, Bielsko-Biała
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Chojecki A.
42'
Lipien M.
43' Event
Majsterek J.
Assist: Slomka W.

AI Match Summary

Podbeskidzie in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Podbeskidzie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Podbeskidzie
44%
Draws
20%
Podhale Nowy Targ
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Podbeskidzie lately — more wins on the board than Podhale Nowy Targ.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Podbeskidzie Clean Sheet 20%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podbeskidzie Podhale Nowy Targ
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2
Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Division 2
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Podbeskidzie
2:0
Jan 11, 2020 Club Friendly
Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ
2:1
Jul 10, 2019 Club Friendly
Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Podbeskidzie Compare

Top Goalscorer Majsterek J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sitek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Chojecki A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podbeskidzie 36 / 100
Podhale Nowy Targ 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podbeskidzie Podhale Nowy Targ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Podbeskidzie scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Podhale Nowy Targ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Podbeskidzie has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Podbeskidzie VS Podhale Nowy Targ
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Podbeskidzie

(Home)
18 Jul
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 1
Podbeskidzie
12 Jul
Wisla
0 : 1
Podbeskidzie
07 Jul
Podbeskidzie
2 : 1
Ostrava B
04 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 2
Podbeskidzie
06 Jun
Podbeskidzie
3 : 1
Sandecja Nowy S.
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Podhale Nowy Targ

(Away)
18 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 4
Podhale Nowy Targ
11 Jul
Wisla II
2 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
04 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 3
Podhale Nowy Targ
01 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 5
Podhale Nowy Targ
27 Jun
L. Mikulas
2 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)