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Podbeskidzie vs Pogon Siedlce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej, Bielsko-Biała
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Klisiewicz L.
Assist: Hirosawa T.
16'
Marzec M.
21'
Kobusinski S.

AI Match Summary

Podbeskidzie in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Podbeskidzie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Podbeskidzie
35%
Draws
41%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pogon Siedlce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Podbeskidzie lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Siedlce.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Siedlce taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Podbeskidzie Clean Sheet 15%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podbeskidzie Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Division 1
Podbeskidzie vs Pogon Siedlce
1:0
Sep 26, 2023 Polish Cup
Pogon Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie
1:3
Sep 25, 2019 Polish Cup
Pogon Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie
1:0
Apr 15, 2018 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Podbeskidzie
0:0
Sep 16, 2017 Division 1
Podbeskidzie vs Pogon Siedlce
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Podbeskidzie Compare

Top Goalscorer Klisiewicz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podbeskidzie 15 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podbeskidzie Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Siedlce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Podbeskidzie scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Pogon Siedlce let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Podbeskidzie remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Podbeskidzie VS Pogon Siedlce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Podbeskidzie

(Home)
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
02 Oct
Podbeskidzie
0 : 3
Trinec
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3
Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)