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Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej, Bielsko-Biała
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podbeskidzie host Warta Poznan in the Division 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Warta Poznan have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Podbeskidzie have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor Warta Poznan slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.63) back Podbeskidzie to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Podbeskidzie
20%
Draws
56%
Warta Poznan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Podbeskidzie come out ahead of Warta Poznan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Warta Poznan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Podbeskidzie Clean Sheet 14%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podbeskidzie Warta Poznan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Podbeskidzie
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 2
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznan
2:3
Mar 21, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Podbeskidzie
2:0
Oct 19, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Mar 9, 2020 Division 1
Podbeskidzie vs Warta Poznan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podbeskidzie 11 / 100
Warta Poznan 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podbeskidzie Warta Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Podbeskidzie scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Warta Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Podbeskidzie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Podbeskidzie VS Warta Poznan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Podbeskidzie

(Home)
18 Oct
LKS Lodz
1 : 0
Podbeskidzie
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
02 Oct
Podbeskidzie
0 : 3
Trinec
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

Warta Poznan

(Away)
16 Oct
Warta Poznan
1 : 0
Unia Skierniewice
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
4 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
5 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
6 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
8 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 11 3 0 8 11:16 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)