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Stadium Background

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lewart Lubartow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Giel P.
10' Event
Giel P.
17' Event
Michota M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 game between Podhale Nowy Targ and Lewart Lubartow finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Podhale Nowy Targ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Podhale Nowy Targ
6%
Draws
4%
Lewart Lubartow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Podhale Nowy Targ come out ahead of Lewart Lubartow on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Podhale Nowy Targ taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Podhale Nowy Targ here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 68%
Lewart Lubartow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podhale Nowy Targ Lewart Lubartow
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lewart Lubartow
4:0
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Lewart Lubartow vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1:2
Feb 27, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Lewart Lubartow
0:0
Aug 2, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Lewart Lubartow vs Podhale Nowy Targ
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Giel P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lewart Lubartow Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podhale Nowy Targ 95 / 100
Lewart Lubartow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podhale Nowy Targ Lewart Lubartow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewart Lubartow let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Podhale Nowy Targ scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lewart Lubartow lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Podhale Nowy Targ VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sandecja Nowy S.34228465:3174
2Podhale Nowy Targ34215867:4368
3Siarka Tarnobrzeg34205976:4265
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34196955:4063
5Avia Swidnik34188877:4462
6Korona Kielce II341710771:5061
7Star Starachowice341671161:4655
8Biala Podlaska341581159:4253
9Chelmianka Chelm341651374:6253
10Wisloka Debica341441661:5546
11Czarni Polaniec341181552:6441
12Wisla II341181572:6041
13Swidniczanka Swidnik341091544:5439
14Wislanie Skawina341091541:6039
15Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341071750:6837
16Wiazownica34791838:7030
17Lewart Lubartow34542531:8519
18Unia Tarnow34242828:10610