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Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Czerwik J.
14' Event
Marcinho
Assist: Sewerys R.
22' Event
Zemlo P.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Podhale Nowy Targ and Stal Stalowa Wola finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Podhale Nowy Targ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Podhale Nowy Targ
20%
Draws
33%
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Podhale Nowy Targ come out ahead of Stal Stalowa Wola on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Podhale Nowy Targ taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 10%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podhale Nowy Targ Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola
5:0
Mar 1, 2026 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Division 2
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:1
May 7, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Seweryn L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marcinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podhale Nowy Targ 83 / 100
Stal Stalowa Wola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podhale Nowy Targ Stal Stalowa Wola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podhale Nowy Targ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Podhale Nowy Targ's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stal Stalowa Wola conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Podhale Nowy Targ remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Podhale Nowy Targ VS Stal Stalowa Wola
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Podhale Nowy Targ

(Home)
09 Oct
Chojniczanka
2 : 2
Podhale Nowy Targ
03 Oct
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
05 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Sandecja Nowy S.
Page 1 of 6

Stal Stalowa Wola

(Away)
10 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 2
Slask Wroclaw II
04 Oct
Pruszkow
4 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0
R. Rzeszow
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)