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Podhale Nowy Targ vs Zielona Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podhale Nowy Targ host Zielona Gora in the Division 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Podhale Nowy Targ at 1.96 goals for, 1.46 against; Zielona Gora at 1.71 for, 1.46 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.69) point toward Zielona Gora. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Podhale Nowy Targ
15%
Draws
32%
Zielona Gora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zielona Gora lately — more wins on the board than Podhale Nowy Targ.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Podhale Nowy Targ taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 13%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podhale Nowy Targ Zielona Gora
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podhale Nowy Targ 84 / 100
Zielona Gora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podhale Nowy Targ Zielona Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podhale Nowy Targ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Podhale Nowy Targ scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Zielona Gora let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Podhale Nowy Targ has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zielona Gora's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Podhale Nowy Targ VS Zielona Gora
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Podhale Nowy Targ

(Home)
09 Oct
Chojniczanka
2 : 2
Podhale Nowy Targ
03 Oct
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
05 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Sandecja Nowy S.
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Zielona Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Leczna 10 6 2 2 21:10 20
3 Tychy 10 5 5 0 14:6 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Zielona Gora 10 4 3 3 20:16 15
9 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
14 Legia II 9 3 0 6 18:17 9
15 Slask Wroclaw II 9 3 0 6 15:17 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)